Nashville Predators at Utah Mammoth

NHL April 10, 2026 01:00 AM ET

Ω OMEGA PICK

55% Lean

SPREAD

Nashville Predators

0.0

Monte Carlo shows 46.2% away cover vs 50% fair line (push-adjusted); model 10-2 vs Predators

Ω Bottom Line

Preds +0 (55%) — model 10-2 vs NSH vs 1-12 vs Utah + MC 46% cover; +1.2 EV ML at +201

All OMEGA Picks

SPREAD

Nashville Predators

55%

Monte Carlo shows 46.2% away cover vs 50% fair line (push-adjusted); model 10-2 vs Predators

MONEYLINE

Nashville Predators

58%

Model 10W-2L vs Predators (83.3%) vs 1-12 vs Utah; MC away win 45.2% has +EV at +201

Game Analysis

Dead even matchup per MC (46.2% away cover, 9.6-9.6 exp score) but model 10-2 vs Preds vs 1-12 vs Utah tilts to Nashville +0/-110. Utah injuries (McBain/Hayton out) hit depth more than Preds (Hague D only). No market means model ML +201 offers marginal EV on away; pass totals (losing tier).

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT

Filip Forsberg Nashville Predators

Over 0.5 goals 58%

Team leader (72 points); high-usage winger vs Utah injuries boosting PP time (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Steven Stamkos Nashville Predators

Over 0.5 points 56%

39 goals leader; power play 1st unit anchor in even matchup (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Ryan O'Reilly Nashville Predators

Over 0.5 assists 55%

45 assists; top-line C drives play vs Utah missing McBain/Hayton (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Filip Forsberg Nashville Predators

Over 3.5 shots_on_goal 60%

Volume shooter; projects over in neutral game (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Steven Stamkos Nashville Predators

Over 3.0 shots_on_goal 57%

Consistent shooter; PP usage (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Ryan O'Reilly Nashville Predators

Under 0.5 points 55%

Defensive focus C; lower scoring projection (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Clayton Keller Utah Mammoth

Under 1.0 points 59%

78 points leader but team 1-12 vs model; McBain/Hayton out reduces support (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Dylan Guenther Utah Mammoth

Under 0.5 goals 56%

38 goals but low hit rate; Preds D solid minus Hague (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Clayton Keller Utah Mammoth

Over 0.5 assists 58%

Assist leader; playmaker role intact (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Dylan Guenther Utah Mammoth

Over 2.5 shots_on_goal 57%

Shooting volume; projects slight over (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Clayton Keller Utah Mammoth

Under 3.0 shots_on_goal 55%

Pass-first; lower volume projection (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Filip Forsberg Nashville Predators

Under 1.0 points 54%

Goal-heavy; assist variance in low-total game (model proj)

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