New York Knicks at Atlanta Hawks

NBA April 06, 2026 11:00 PM ET

Ω OMEGA PICK

60% Lean

SPREAD

Atlanta Hawks

-1.5

RLM sharp action on Hawks spread despite public likely on Knicks road dog

Ω Bottom Line

16.7% sharp over edge + RLM w/ +40 EV Bovada; Johnson max usage Landale out = Hawks -1.5 cover

All OMEGA Picks

SPREAD

Atlanta Hawks

Line: -1.5

60%

RLM sharp action on Hawks spread despite public likely on Knicks road dog

MONEYLINE

Atlanta Hawks

62%

Model 54% vs 55% implied; profitable ML tier history + sharp home spread signal

TOTAL

over

Line: 229.5

65%

16.7% sharp edge + RLM on over; +40% EV vs Pinnacle fair 51.9%

Game Analysis

Knicks get 2pt model edge from Brunson (26PPG) torching Hawks backcourt while Bridges/Anunoby contain Johnson (22.8/8/10.3). Landale out boosts Knicks frontcourt (Robinson/Hart); Towns DTD risk offset by depth. Model 58% Knicks win > -130 breakeven, +2.8EV; totals faded per tier losses.

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT

Jalen Johnson Atlanta Hawks

Over 22.5 points 65%

Team leader + Landale out = max usage in high pace spot

PROP ALERT

Jalen Johnson Atlanta Hawks

Over 8.5 rebounds 62%

Rebounding leader; Knicks weak frontcourt w/o Towns efficiency

PROP ALERT

Jalen Johnson Atlanta Hawks

Over 10.0 assists 60%

Triple-double threat; primary creator w/ Landale out

PROP ALERT

CJ McCollum Atlanta Hawks

Over 19.5 points 58%

High usage guard; over bias game total

PROP ALERT

Onyeka Okongwu Atlanta Hawks

Over 7.5 rebounds 60%

Starts for injured Landale; rebounding vacuum

PROP ALERT

Jonathan Kuminga Atlanta Hawks

Under 16.5 points 59%

Johnson dominates usage; reduced role

PROP ALERT

Buddy Hield Atlanta Hawks

Over 3.0 three_pointers 61%

Volume shooter; sharp over total projects pace

PROP ALERT

Jalen Brunson New York Knicks

Over 26.0 points 65%

Knicks scoring leader; high usage regardless of matchup

PROP ALERT

Jalen Brunson New York Knicks

Over 6.5 assists 62%

Primary playmaker; Hawks defense vulnerable

PROP ALERT

OG Anunoby New York Knicks

Over 15.5 points 58%

Secondary scorer; over total favors wings

PROP ALERT

Josh Hart New York Knicks

Over 8.0 rebounds 60%

Hustle guy fills Towns rebound void (11.9 avg)

PROP ALERT

Mikal Bridges New York Knicks

Over 17.0 points 59%

Consistent volume; sharp over projects scoring

PROP ALERT

Mitchell Robinson New York Knicks

Over 9.5 rebounds 61%

Primary rebounder w/ Towns out; Hawks thin frontcourt

PROP ALERT

Jordan Clarkson New York Knicks

Under 14.5 points 57%

Brunson dominates backcourt usage

PROP ALERT

Miles McBride New York Knicks

Under 3.5 assists 58%

Limited role behind Brunson; bench minutes

PROP ALERT

Dyson Daniels Atlanta Hawks

Over 1.5 steals 60%

Defensive specialist; Knicks turnover prone

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