New York Mets at New York Yankees
Ω
OMEGA PICK
68%
Strong
SPREAD
New York Yankees
-1.5
Sharp money divergence of 14.5% on home spread with extreme whale volume ($1.4M) signals institutional confidence in Yankees covering -1.5.
Ω Bottom Line
Yankees -1.5: Sharp money divergence + extreme whale volume signal institutional confidence in a multi-run win.
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
New York Yankees
Line: -1.5
Sharp money divergence of 14.5% on home spread with extreme whale volume ($1.4M) signals institutional confidence in Yankees covering -1.5.
MONEYLINE
New York Yankees
calibrated 63.4% vs market 63.1%, edge +0.3pp, too small for meaningful bet.
TOTAL
over
Line: 8.0
simulation simulation shows 54% over probability, slight edge vs market 50%.
Game Analysis
Subway Series clash with no market odds. Whale signals show extreme $1.3M volume on Yankees at 93% confidence, aligning with Bayesian posterior of 60.5%. Injury impact roughly equal. Starting pitcher data unavailable, creating uncertainty. Leaning Yankees on moneyline and run line with modest edge, but due to data quality, keep unit sizes small. Total is a shot in the dark.