Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels

Sharp money is hammering the Mariners on both spread (28.7% edge) and moneyline (11.8% edge, RLM detected). Pinnacle fair value shows Seattle at 61% on the ML, while prediction markets show a 7% divergence favoring the Angels — a classic contrarian confluence that strengthens the sharp signal. The Bayesian posterior shows a 59.6% cover probability for the home spread, but the sharp money divergence is too large to ignore. The CLV timing is LATE (market moved 2.2 pts toward our side), so this edge is decaying — take the bet quickly. The total is a pass: Monte Carlo shows 61% over, but Bayesian fusion shows 51.8% under, creating a conflicting signal with no strong weather or pace data to break the tie.