Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres

This game is a data-quality nightmare — no probable pitchers, no weather, and OMEGA's independent total of 22.5 vs market 8.5 is an obvious model artifact (likely a Poisson parameter blown up by missing roster filters). The real signals are the sharp money divergence (13.5% edge toward Padres on the spread), the $316K whale volume aligned with home, and the CLV timing showing we're early vs the market. The Bayesian ML posterior at 56.5% vs 54.3% market is a modest edge worth 1u, but the spread at -2.2 is an awkward number that could lose by 1 run. Skip spreads, keep the ML lean small. The over at 8.5 is tempting given the fusion posterior (65% over), but given the model artifact risk and Petco's run-suppressing nature, that's a coin-flip spot best passed entirely.