UConn Huskies at Michigan Wolverines
Ω
OMEGA PICK
64%
Sharp Lean
SPREAD
UConn Huskies
+7.5
OMEGA spread 0.0 vs market -7.5 creates 7.5pt edge, MC shows 48.8% UConn cover rate
Ω Bottom Line
OMEGA 0.0 spread vs -7.5 market + 192 total vs 144.5 = UConn +7.5/+240/Over 144.5, +20.1EV ML
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
UConn Huskies
Line: +7.5
OMEGA spread 0.0 vs market -7.5 creates 7.5pt edge, MC shows 48.8% UConn cover rate
MONEYLINE
UConn Huskies
Market requires 74.9% to break even at -298 but OMEGA projects only 51.2% Michigan win
TOTAL
over
Line: 144.5
OMEGA total 192.0 vs market 144.5 = 47.5pt discrepancy, MC total mean 191.6
Game Analysis
OMEGA model projects dead-even 96-96 game (0.0 spread) vs market's MICH -7.5, creating 7.5pt spread value and +79 EV on UConn ML at +260. Total edge massive at 192 vs 144.5 with no injuries or situational flags explaining market discrepancy. High edge tier calibration strong (72% WR) supports sizing up vs overconfident lower tiers.
Correlated Player Props
PROP ALERT
Yaxel Lendeborg
Michigan Wolverines
Over 15.0 points
62%
Team leader avg matches projection, no injury cascade
PROP ALERT
Elliot Cadeau
Michigan Wolverines
Over 6.0 assists
60%
Season avg projects slight over in even matchup
PROP ALERT
Morez Johnson Jr.
Michigan Wolverines
Over 7.5 rebounds
61%
Rebound leader projects comfortably over line
PROP ALERT
Tarris Reed Jr.
UConn Huskies
Over 15.0 points
63%
UConn scoring leader projects to team high vs even defense
PROP ALERT
Tarris Reed Jr.
UConn Huskies
Over 9.0 rebounds
64%
Double-double threat projects strong board work
PROP ALERT
Silas Demary Jr.
UConn Huskies
Over 6.0 assists
59%
Matches avg projection in high-scoring model game
PROP ALERT
Alex Karaban
UConn Huskies
Over 12.5 points
58%
Key contributor projects over in 192pt model total
PROP ALERT
Nimari Burnett
Michigan Wolverines
Over 11.0 points
57%
Rotation player benefits from high pace projection
PROP ALERT
Roddy Gayle Jr.
Michigan Wolverines
Under 10.5 points
56%
Projects slight under vs UConn perimeter D
PROP ALERT
Jacob Furphy
UConn Huskies
Over 2.0 three_pointers
59%
Shooter projects volume in uptempo model game
PROP ALERT
Aday Mara
Michigan Wolverines
Over 6.5 rebounds
60%
Big man projects boards in 96pt team total
PROP ALERT
Jaylin Stewart
UConn Huskies
Over 9.5 points
58%
Bench spark projects scoring in deep rotation