Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights
Ω
OMEGA PICK
65%
Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Utah Mammoth
1.5
Market Consensus de-vigged fair value 63.2% Utah +1.5 cover vs 39.4% implied (+60 EV); sharp 52.1% divergence + RLM
Ω Bottom Line
Utah +1.5 +154: Sharp RLM + Pinnacle 63% cover (+60 EV) vs public home juice, PM extreme confirm
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
Utah Mammoth
Line: 1.5
Market Consensus de-vigged fair value 63.2% Utah +1.5 cover vs 39.4% implied (+60 EV); sharp 52.1% divergence + RLM
MONEYLINE
Vegas Golden Knights
calibrated fuses to 62.4% matching market (0pp edge); injury cascade favors home slightly
Game Analysis
Omega even spread vs market Vegas -2 + 16.3% sharp/Pinnacle edge to Utah + PM extreme divergence confirm away value despite whale home. Hayton out hurts Utah 6.3% but MC 47.3% home cover < implied. Totals weak historically, lean under 6 at 58 conf.
Correlated Player Props
PROP ALERT
Jack Eichel
Vegas Golden Knights
Over 1.5 points
58%
Team-leading 63 points season total, high-usage center vs depleted Utah forward group (Hayton OUT boosts matchup)
PROP ALERT
Jack Eichel
Vegas Golden Knights
Over 0.5 assists
60%
League-high 90 assists pace, primary playmaker in home matchup
PROP ALERT
Jack Eichel
Vegas Golden Knights
Over 2.5 shots_on_goal
57%
Consistent shooter, projects 2.8 vs Utah defense
PROP ALERT
Pavel Dorofeyev
Vegas Golden Knights
Over 0.5 goals
55%
Team-leading 37 goals pace, sniper role expands with home ice
PROP ALERT
Pavel Dorofeyev
Vegas Golden Knights
Over 2.0 shots_on_goal
56%
Volume shooter projecting 2.4 SOG in favorable spot
PROP ALERT
Jack Eichel
Vegas Golden Knights
Under 0.5 blocks
55%
Offensive focus, low block volume as forward
PROP ALERT
Jack Eichel
Vegas Golden Knights
Under 1.0 steals
56%
Projects sub-1.0 in controlled home game
PROP ALERT
Clayton Keller
Utah Mammoth
Over 1.0 points
57%
Team-high 62 points, usage boost with Hayton OUT (+10-15% projected)
PROP ALERT
Clayton Keller
Utah Mammoth
Over 2.5 shots_on_goal
56%
Consistent volume despite road spot
PROP ALERT
Dylan Guenther
Utah Mammoth
Over 0.5 goals
55%
40-goal pace, powerplay threat with injury cascade
PROP ALERT
Clayton Keller
Utah Mammoth
Over 2.5 shots_on_target
56%
High volume adjusted for matchup