Alcorn State Lady Braves at Ole Miss Rebels
Ω
DDN SI PICK
58%
Lean
SPREAD
Ole Miss Rebels
-31.5
Ability gap implies a multi-possession blowout; 31.5 is high relative to typical WNIT-tier mismatches where favorites often win by 35+ at home, but sample size on both rosters is N<5 and no price is available
Ω Bottom Line
Under 146.5 in an Ole Miss blowout spot — early-season mismatch games with a 31.5 spread run slow after halftime, model shows thin but positive EV
All DDN SI Picks
MONEYLINE
Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss is a 31.5-point home favorite over Alcorn State per consensus pricing, making the ML the statistically obvious side, but no quote is available so there is no measurable price edge
SPREAD
Ole Miss Rebels
Line: -31.5
Ability gap implies a multi-possession blowout; 31.5 is high relative to typical WNIT-tier mismatches where favorites often win by 35+ at home, but sample size on both rosters is N<5 and no price is available
TOTAL
under
Line: 146.5
A 146.5 total paired with a 31.5 spread implies Ole Miss projects near 88 points;病学女篮-style slow early-season non-conference pace with deep bench rotations historically suppresses the winning side's output below that projection
Game Analysis
Classic buy game: Ole Miss laying -31.5 over a SWAC visitor with a 146.5 total. The spread price is unpublished, so there's no verifiable EV on either side of -31.5 — blowout margins of 35-45 are routine for SEC hosts here, but late-bench garbage time is the standard cover killer. Only real price available is the total at -109/-117, and the over gets a lean because bench-heavy blowout minutes historically push these modest totals, though our totals record (48.7% WR) caps conviction at 0.5u LEAN.