Athletics at New York Yankees

MLB April 07, 2026 11:05 PM ET FINAL 3 - 5

Ω OMEGA PICK

58% Lean

SPREAD

Athletics

0.0

Omega spread 0.0 vs market -271 implies Athletics cover even line in 46.8% MC sims

Ω Bottom Line

Athletics +218 ML +20.4 EV vs 46.8% MC win prob; market overreacts to NYY record ignoring ace/SS injuries

All OMEGA Picks

SPREAD

Athletics

58%

Omega spread 0.0 vs market -271 implies Athletics cover even line in 46.8% MC sims

MONEYLINE

Athletics

62%

46.8% MC home win prob vs 31.9% breakeen creates +20.4 EV on +218

TOTAL

over

Line: 8.0

55%

Omega total 24.0 vs market 8.0; MC total mean 23.9 with 43.6% over 24.0

Game Analysis

Omega line shows dead even 12-12 scoring (absurd for MLB) with Yankees -155 ML but ELO projects 5.8 run edge from 1609-1464 ratings. Yankees missing Cole/Rodon/Volpe but still home favorites; Athletics get slight model ML value at +155. Totals unplayable with model projecting fantasy football scores and calibration showing losses across tiers.

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT

Aaron Judge New York Yankees

Over 1.0 hits 58%

Judge leads team (3 hits); Yankee Stadium boost for power hitters

PROP ALERT

Giancarlo Stanton New York Yankees

Over 0.5 home_runs 55%

.394 BA leader; favorable matchup vs OAK staff

PROP ALERT

Ben Rice New York Yankees

Over 0.5 rbis 57%

Team RBI leader (11); lineup protection with Judge/Stanton

PROP ALERT

Shea Langeliers Athletics

Over 0.5 hits 56%

OAK hit leader; weak NYY pitching depleted by injuries

PROP ALERT

Max Muncy Athletics

Over 1.0 total_bases 55%

.314 BA; projects multi-hit potential vs injured NYY staff

PROP ALERT

Shea Langeliers Athletics

Over 0.5 home_runs 54%

Team HR leader (5); Yankee Stadium short porch

PROP ALERT

Cam Schlittler New York Yankees

Over 4.5 strikeouts 59%

0.00 ERA leader; OAK high-K offense early season

PROP ALERT

Jeffrey Springs Athletics

Over 3.5 strikeouts 58%

2.38 ERA; NYY depleted lineup missing Volpe

PROP ALERT

Aaron Judge New York Yankees

Over 1.5 total_bases 60%

Power threat in hitter-friendly park

PROP ALERT

Giancarlo Stanton New York Yankees

Over 0.5 rbis 56%

Hot start .394 BA drives production

PROP ALERT

Max Fried New York Yankees

Under 5.5 strikeouts 55%

2 wins but OAK contact approach limits Ks

PROP ALERT

Shea Langeliers Athletics

Over 0.5 rbis 57%

Team RBI leader (8); cleanup projection

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