Athletics at New York Yankees

MLB April 08, 2026 11:05 PM ET

Ω OMEGA PICK

58% Lean

SPREAD

Athletics

+194

Omega spread 0.0 vs market -194 implies massive overreaction to NYY injuries (Cole/Rodon IL)

Ω Bottom Line

Omega 0.0 spread vs -194 market (-19.6pt edge) + NYY missing Cole/Rodon/Volpe = Athletics ML +159 (+3.8 EV)

All OMEGA Picks

SPREAD

Athletics

Line: +194

58%

Omega spread 0.0 vs market -194 implies massive overreaction to NYY injuries (Cole/Rodon IL)

MONEYLINE

Athletics

60%

Model win prob 46.4% vs 38.6% implied (+7.8% edge), NYY missing ace Cole/Rodon/Volpe

Game Analysis

Yankees project 60% win prob (-145 ML, 5.0-4.0 score) despite missing Cole/Rodon/Volpe as home edge + Schlittler 0.00 ERA/15K overwhelms Athletics. Model vs Yankees 7-11L but vs Athletics 10-8W; spread -1.5 has 58% MC cover rate. Poor data quality forces 55-60 confidence cap, favor ML where lean tier profitable 56.9%. Props lean Judge/Stanton power in YS3 short porch.

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT

Aaron Judge New York Yankees

Over 0.5 home_runs 58%

Judge leads team with 3 HR early season, model projects .550+ SLG vs OAK pitching

PROP ALERT

Ben Rice New York Yankees

Under 1.5 hits 56%

Rice .379 BA small sample, faces Springs (2.38 ERA), projects under vs LHP

PROP ALERT

Shea Langeliers Athletics

Over 0.5 home_runs 57%

Langeliers 5 HR early, power profile suits Yankee Stadium short porch

PROP ALERT

Max Muncy Athletics

Over 0.5 hits 59%

.308 BA leader, consistent contact vs NYY bullpen injuries

PROP ALERT

Max Fried New York Yankees

Over 5.5 strikeouts 60%

1.35 ERA, 2 QS, OAK high K% lineup projects 6+ K

PROP ALERT

Jeffrey Springs Athletics

Under 4.5 strikeouts 55%

2.38 ERA but NYY patient lineup, projects sub-5K

PROP ALERT

Aaron Judge New York Yankees

Over 1.5 total_bases 59%

Power leader vs weak OAK SP, Yankee Stadium boost

PROP ALERT

Shea Langeliers Athletics

Over 0.5 rbis 56%

8 RBI early, cleanup role in high-scoring model projection

PROP ALERT

Ben Rice New York Yankees

Under 1.0 total_bases 57%

11 TB but small sample, Springs limits RHB

PROP ALERT

Max Muncy Athletics

Under 1.5 total_bases 55%

NYY injuries but Fried dominates LHB

PROP ALERT

Cam Schlittler New York Yankees

Over 3.5 strikeouts 58%

22 K early season, high K/9 relief profile

PROP ALERT

Shea Langeliers Athletics

Over 0.5 hits 56%

Power hitter with gap ability vs depleted NYY arms

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