Calgary Flames at Colorado Avalanche
Ω
OMEGA PICK
58%
Lean
SPREAD
Colorado Avalanche
0.0
Recent 2-0 model vs H2H (both COL wins) + home altitude despite Makar out
Ω Bottom Line
Even matchup but model 11-7 vs COL + 2-0 H2H wins = Avalanche ML lean despite Makar out
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
Colorado Avalanche
Recent 2-0 model vs H2H (both COL wins) + home altitude despite Makar out
MONEYLINE
Colorado Avalanche
Model 11-7 vs COL + perfect 2-0 recent H2H picks on COL ML/spread
Game Analysis
Dead even MC sims 45.7% each side at PK, but model 11-7 vs COL + 2-0 perfect H2H picks on Avalanche last meeting. Makar out kills COL D but Flames missing Huberdeau IR + 3 others; altitude still home edge. No market = low conf everywhere, slight lean COL ML at -175 (breakeven 63.6% vs our 60%).
Correlated Player Props
PROP ALERT
Nathan MacKinnon
Colorado Avalanche
Over 1.5 points
60%
Team leader in points (123), high usage even with Makar out (model proj)
PROP ALERT
Nathan MacKinnon
Colorado Avalanche
Over 0.5 goals
58%
51 goals leader, altitude home game boosts shooters
PROP ALERT
Nathan MacKinnon
Colorado Avalanche
Over 1.0 assists
59%
72 assists leader, primary playmaker with Kadri DTD
PROP ALERT
Morgan Frost
Colorado Avalanche
Over 0.5 points
55%
21 points, secondary scorer in depleted lineup
PROP ALERT
Mikael Backlund
Calgary Flames
Over 0.5 points
57%
Veteran leader 25 points, faces depleted COL D
PROP ALERT
Morgan Frost
Calgary Flames
Over 0.5 assists
56%
41 assists, playmaker role with Huberdeau IR
PROP ALERT
Jacob Markstrom
Calgary Flames
Over 27.5 saves
58%
CGY starter, altitude shots vs MacKinnon line
PROP ALERT
Mikko Rantanen
Colorado Avalanche
Over 3.5 shots_on_goal
59%
High volume shooter home altitude