Chicago Bulls at Memphis Grizzlies OMEGA Picks — March 29, 2026

All OMEGA Picks

SPREAD

Memphis Grizzlies -2.5

Line: -2.5

67%

Grizzlies retain home court edge with deeper bench rotation vs Bulls' 5 key day-to-day risks

MONEYLINE

Memphis Grizzlies

69%

61% model win prob vs 57% implied with perfect 2-0 vs Grizzlies

TOTAL

Under 208.5

Line: 208.5

68%

Both teams missing star usage players projects combined 204pts in depleted lineups

Game Analysis

Memphis gutted without Morant (30% usage), Edey, Jerome, Wells, Mashack - model drops their efficiency -22% with 4+ rotation outs. Bulls missing only Simons but Giddey triple-double averages carry depleted Grizzlies defense. Projects Bulls 106-100 win (208 under) with +4.2 EV on ML.

Game Theory & Utilization

Memphis gutted without Morant (30% usage), Edey, Jerome, Wells, Mashack - model drops their efficiency -22% with 4+ rotation outs. Bulls missing only Simons but Giddey triple-double averages carry depleted Grizzlies defense. Projects Bulls 106-100 win (208 under) with +4.2 EV on ML.

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT

Cedric Coward Memphis Grizzlies

Over 13.5 points 64%

Team leader in scoring/rebounds with Morant out boosts usage 20%

PROP ALERT

Josh Giddey Chicago Bulls

Over 17.5 points 65%

Bulls alpha with Simons/Richards out, projects 35+ min high usage

PROP ALERT

Josh Giddey Chicago Bulls

Over 8.5 assists 63%

Primary ballhandler in depleted backcourt, matchup favors playmaking

PROP ALERT

Santi Aldama Memphis Grizzlies

Over 11.5 points 62%

Edey out elevates frontcourt minutes/usage vs thin Bulls interior

PROP ALERT

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Memphis Grizzlies

Over 10.5 points 61%

Veteran guard steps up with Morant/Jerome out, consistent shooter

PROP ALERT

Jaden Ivey Chicago Bulls

Over 14.0 points 60%

Backcourt partner to Giddey gains shots with Simons/Dillingham sidelined

PROP ALERT

Josh Giddey Chicago Bulls

Over 9.0 rebounds 62%

Board machine with Richards/Yabusele day-to-day, weak Grizzlies frontcourt