Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox
Ω
OMEGA PICK
64%
Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Cleveland Guardians
-1.5
Market Consensus de-vigged fair 65.6% away vs retail +186 implies 34.9%, +50% EV with RLM toward away
Ω Bottom Line
Guardians +1.5 (+186) shows +50% EV vs Market Consensus fair 65.6% with RLM + $108K whale confirming away
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
Cleveland Guardians
Line: -1.5
Market Consensus de-vigged fair 65.6% away vs retail +186 implies 34.9%, +50% EV with RLM toward away
Game Analysis
Coin-flip in Chicago: OMEGA 4.5-4.1 and model 4.7-4.1 both land on White Sox -0.5 / 8.5 with 50.8-53.1% home lean. But +1.6pp calibrated edge misses the 3% signal bar, models disagree sharply, and $44K STRONG whale volume is on Cleveland. Injuries net equal (-6.9% vs -7.4%). Pass-or-lean only.