Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL April 08, 2026 12:00 AM ET FINAL 3 - 1

Ω OMEGA PICK

65% Sharp Lean

SPREAD

St. Louis Blues

1.55

Omega spread 0.0 vs market COL -155 = 155pt edge; sharp 13% divergence + Bovada +260 = +28.3 EV

Ω Bottom Line

Blues +130 ML / +164 spread: omega 0.0 vs -155 market + 13% sharp edge = +28 EV (Makar out)

All OMEGA Picks

SPREAD

St. Louis Blues

Line: 1.55

65%

Omega spread 0.0 vs market COL -155 = 155pt edge; sharp 13% divergence + Bovada +260 = +28.3 EV

MONEYLINE

St. Louis Blues

67%

MC home win 45.8% vs market-implied 43.4% (after vig); model 9-5 vs Blues

TOTAL

under

Line: 6.5

60%

Sharp 4.3% edge + RLM to under; omega total 19.0 anomaly but MC under 46.2%

Game Analysis

Dead even matchup per MC (46.5-45.4%) and omega pick'em spread, but Avs -217 ML is -EV poison with Makar OUT cratering their D. Blues +217 ML prints +8.4 EV% as model dog with recent H2H ML win. Under 19 leans slight with 46.1% MC hit but totals bleed units across tiers.

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT

Nathan MacKinnon Colorado Avalanche

Over 1.5 points 60%

MacKinnon 71 pts leader, high usage even w/ Makar out; model proj 1.7pts

PROP ALERT

Nathan MacKinnon Colorado Avalanche

Over 0.5 goals 58%

51G leader vs Blues D; away scoring splits strong

PROP ALERT

Nathan MacKinnon Colorado Avalanche

Over 1.0 assists 59%

122 pt-producer, primary playmaker; Blues PK weak

PROP ALERT

Robert Thomas St. Louis Blues

Over 0.5 points 60%

Team leader 56pts; home ice boost vs injured Avs

PROP ALERT

Robert Thomas St. Louis Blues

Over 0.5 assists 58%

35A leader, PP1 role; MacKinnon focus opens ice

PROP ALERT

Robert Thomas St. Louis Blues

Under 0.5 goals 57%

21G modest; defensive matchup vs Avs road PK

PROP ALERT

Mikko Rantanen Colorado Avalanche

Over 1.0 points 59%

High-usage winger, complements MacKinnon; Blues allow 3.2 vs top lines

PROP ALERT

Mikko Rantanen Colorado Avalanche

Over 3.5 shots_on_goal 60%

Volume shooter avg 3.8 SOG; favorable matchup

PROP ALERT

Jordan Kyrou St. Louis Blues

Over 0.5 points 58%

Speed threat home; Makar out = more rush chances

PROP ALERT

Jordan Kyrou St. Louis Blues

Over 2.5 shots_on_goal 59%

Consistent shooter; Avs road GA vulnerable

PROP ALERT

Brayden Schenn St. Louis Blues

Over 0.5 points 57%

Veteran leader, faceoff wins; 3C role vs tired Avs

PROP ALERT

Artturi Lehkonen Colorado Avalanche

Under 0.5 goals 58%

Secondary scorer, Blues strong vs depth; low line

PROP ALERT

Pavel Buchnevich St. Louis Blues

Over 0.5 assists 59%

Pass-first winger, pairs w/ Thomas; home splits

PROP ALERT

Valeri Nichushkin Colorado Avalanche

Over 2.5 shots_on_goal 60%

Net-front presence, volume; Blues D allows 31.2 SA/G

PROP ALERT

Alexandre Georgiev Colorado Avalanche

Over 27.5 saves 57%

Expected starter, Blues pace generates shots

PROP ALERT

Jordan Binnington St. Louis Blues

Over 28.5 saves 58%

Home starter, Avs firepower despite Makar out

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