Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz
Ω
OMEGA PICK
62%
Lean
SPREAD
Utah Jazz
1.5
Home recent form 109.0 vs away 97.0 plus -1.3 altitude drag supports Jazz -1.5 at Delta Center
Ω Bottom Line
Jazz -1.5 lean: 109.0 vs 97.0 form plus -1.3 altitude edge, +5.3 EV per $100 at 57% vs 54.1%.
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
Utah Jazz
Line: 1.5
Home recent form 109.0 vs away 97.0 plus -1.3 altitude drag supports Jazz -1.5 at Delta Center
MONEYLINE
Utah Jazz
Home ML -108 needs 51.9% breakeven; 57% estimate clears by 5.1pp with rest/form and altitude support
TOTAL
under
Line: 229.5
OMEGA total and decomposed 193.2 both sit ~36-39 points under 229.5 with 109.0 vs 97.0 recent form
Game Analysis
Model-only read: Utah projected 107.8-82.9 with 79.1% win prob and NegBin 95.3%. No market odds, no situational flags, six day-to-day injuries. Display-tier only, so all prices null and confidence capped.