Detroit Tigers at Atlanta Braves
Ω
OMEGA PICK
64%
Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Atlanta Braves
-1.5
13.2% sharp edge on home run line +47.3% EV vs Market Consensus fair value (35.5% fair home cover)
Ω Bottom Line
Braves -1.5 +47% EV vs Pinnacle + sharp/whale home consensus (13.2% edge, $399k extreme vol)
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
Atlanta Braves
Line: -1.5
13.2% sharp edge on home run line +47.3% EV vs Market Consensus fair value (35.5% fair home cover)
Game Analysis
Whales drop extreme $398k on Braves in pick'em despite VERY_LOW model agreement; MC under 73% crushes 22.5 total w/ 9.9-9.8 proj score. Injuries net +2.8% home edge, Bayesian favors away but Tier2 overrides to home value at +155 (+17 EV). Degraded data caps conf at lean.