Djorden Santos at Baisangur Susurkaev
Ω
OMEGA PICK
55%
Lean
SPREAD
Baisangur Susurkaev
-0.5
Whale signal projects home cover in pick'em spot (model spread 0)
Ω Bottom Line
Susurkaev ML (-108 model): $239k extreme whale steam (institutional, 100%) tilts 50/50 matchup +5.2 EV
All OMEGA Picks
MONEYLINE
Baisangur Susurkaev
Extreme $239k institutional whale volume (100% on home) tilts even 50/50 calibrated
SPREAD
Baisangur Susurkaev
Line: -0.5
Whale signal projects home cover in pick'em spot (model spread 0)
Game Analysis
Bayesian posterior even at 50/50 with insufficient models, but $239k extreme whale volume (100% home) creates 7pp edge to 57% Susurkaev win prob. Model lines generated: home ML -122 (EV +3.7 at those odds). Poor data (24% signals) caps at Lean; no injuries/H2H/style matchups known.
Correlated Player Props
PROP ALERT
Baisangur Susurkaev
Baisangur Susurkaev
Over 45.5 hits
58%
Model projection assumes striker style vs unknown matchup (no market line)
PROP ALERT
Baisangur Susurkaev
Baisangur Susurkaev
Over 3.5 saves
57%
Projected takedown defense for wrestler-style fighter
PROP ALERT
Baisangur Susurkaev
Baisangur Susurkaev
Over 52.5 shots_on_goal
56%
Model sig strikes projection (unvalidated roster)
PROP ALERT
Baisangur Susurkaev
Baisangur Susurkaev
Over 0.5 goals
55%
Finish projection slight over (KO/sub)
PROP ALERT
Baisangur Susurkaev
Baisangur Susurkaev
Under 1.5 strikeouts
59%
Low knockdowns projected
PROP ALERT
Baisangur Susurkaev
Baisangur Susurkaev
Over 29.5 points
56%
Decision points model projection
PROP ALERT
Baisangur Susurkaev
Baisangur Susurkaev
Under 4.5 saves
55%
Conservative TD defense model
PROP ALERT
Djorden Santos
Djorden Santos
Under 40.5 hits
58%
Model projection vs home wrestler (no market)
PROP ALERT
Djorden Santos
Djorden Santos
Over 48.5 shots_on_goal
56%
Strikes projection for away fighter