HomeIntel Briefs › Nashville SC at Atlanta United FC

Nashville SC at Atlanta United FC

MLS April 18, 2026 11:30 PM ET
Ω OMEGA PICK
58% Lean
58% Lean
SPREAD
Nashville SC
-0.5
Extreme institutional whale action ($778k volume) on Nashville covering -0.5
Ω Bottom Line
Nashville ML -110: $778k extreme whale volume on road fave vs 52% implied (+4.6% edge)

All OMEGA Picks

SPREAD
Nashville SC
Line: -0.5
58%
Extreme institutional whale action ($778k volume) on Nashville covering -0.5
MONEYLINE
Nashville SC
62%
Whales crushing Nashville ML with $778k extreme volume vs 52.4% implied prob

Game Analysis

Extreme institutional whales ($778k, 24 wallets, 67% conf) pile on Nashville ML vs inefficient -110 price (7.6% edge). Atlanta turf +12% pace projects 2.8 goals over low 2.5 total. Poor data caps conf despite sharp signal; ML > breakeven by 7.6%.

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT
Hany Mukhtar Nashville SC
Over 0.5 goals 62%
Nashville's key creator projects 0.6 goals in favorable matchup (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Hany Mukhtar Nashville SC
Over 1.5 shots_on_target 60%
High-usage mid projects 1.8 SOT vs Atlanta turf pace (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Jack Maher Nashville SC
Under 0.5 shots_on_target 58%
CB low volume projects 0.3 SOT (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Daniel Lovitz Nashville SC
Under 0.5 shots_on_target 59%
Defender projects under 0.5 SOT (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Jeisson Palacios Nashville SC
Under 0.0 goals 64%
Defender zero goal projection (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Josh Bauer Nashville SC
Under 0.5 shots_on_target 61%
Low-usage CB projects 0.2 (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Reed Baker-Whiting Nashville SC
Under 0.5 shots_on_target 57%
Young defender under projection (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Alexey Miranchuk Atlanta United FC
Over 0.5 goals 63%
Team leader 4 goals in 6 matches projects 0.6 (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Alexey Miranchuk Atlanta United FC
Over 1.5 shots_on_target 61%
High shot volume projects 1.7 SOT (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Stian Gregersen Atlanta United FC
Under 0.5 shots_on_target 60%
CB low SOT projection 0.3 (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Enea Mihaj Atlanta United FC
Under 0.0 goals 65%
Defender zero goals projected (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Ronald Hernández Atlanta United FC
Under 0.5 shots_on_target 59%
FB projects under 0.5 (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Tristan Muyumba Atlanta United FC
Under 0.5 shots_on_target 58%
Mid low volume projection (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Steven Alzate Atlanta United FC
Under 0.5 goals 62%
Projects 0.3 goals (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Pedro Amador Atlanta United FC
Under 1.0 shots_on_target 57%
Projects 0.9 SOT (model projection)
PROP ALERT
Elías Baez Atlanta United FC
Under 0.5 shots_on_target 60%
Young player low projection (model projection)
Back to Intel Briefs Full Game Detail