New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder
Ω
OMEGA PICK
62%
Lean
SPREAD
Oklahoma City Thunder
-2.5
Small home favorite -2.5 with no situational disadvantage supplied; home side is the efficient lean
Ω Bottom Line
OKC -2.5 (-110) home lean with +8.8 EV per $100; display only, capped at 62% confidence
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
Oklahoma City Thunder
Line: -2.5
Small home favorite -2.5 with no situational disadvantage supplied; home side is the efficient lean
MONEYLINE
Oklahoma City Thunder
-135 implies 57.4% breakeven; lean prices OKC at 62.5%, clearing the 5-point ML filter
TOTAL
under
Line: 224.5
224.5 is a mid-range NBA total with no pace or weather edge supplied; under is the lower-variance lean
Game Analysis
OKC by ~10 with SGA/Holmgren/Hartenstein vs NOP. No market lines so omega_model spread OKC -9.5, total 228.5. All day-to-day tags are marginal. Display only, capped at 65.