Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics
Ω
OMEGA PICK
60%
Lean
SPREAD
Philadelphia 76ers
8.5
Sharp 1.6% edge on away + Market Consensus fair 50.2% BOS cover (our est 52% PHI cover)
Ω Bottom Line
Philly +8.5: 1.6% sharp edge + Pinnacle 50.2% BOS cover fair vs market 51%, PM extreme Philly despite -290 juice
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
Philadelphia 76ers
Line: 8.5
Sharp 1.6% edge on away + Market Consensus fair 50.2% BOS cover (our est 52% PHI cover)
TOTAL
over
Line: 205.5
Strong sharp edge 13.8% over + cross-market total over lean
Game Analysis
Market baked in -11.5 Boston blowout vs OMEGA -2.5 and MC +7.1 margin (Philly covers 62%); sharp RLM +1.1% edge to away despite whales home. Total 118 obliterated by 179 model +71% MC over 179. Philly ML +397 crushes 20% breakeven at our 35% prob.
Correlated Player Props
PROP ALERT
Jayson Tatum
Boston Celtics
Over 28.5 points
64%
High usage vs Philly frontcourt weakened by Embiid DTD
PROP ALERT
Jaylen Brown
Boston Celtics
Over 28.5 points
63%
Season leader projects above line in playoff pace
PROP ALERT
Derrick White
Boston Celtics
Over 5.0 assists
62%
Playoff assist volume up vs PHI secondary
PROP ALERT
Neemias Queta
Boston Celtics
Over 8.0 rebounds
60%
Rebound projection boosted by Drummond matchup
PROP ALERT
Payton Pritchard
Boston Celtics
Over 11.5 points
58%
Bench scoring role in high-pace spot
PROP ALERT
Sam Hauser
Boston Celtics
Over 2.5 three_pointers
59%
Shooter-friendly matchup projection
PROP ALERT
Tyrese Maxey
Philadelphia 76ers
Over 28.0 points
64%
Lead usage spikes with Embiid DTD uncertainty
PROP ALERT
Tyrese Maxey
Philadelphia 76ers
Over 6.5 assists
62%
Playmaking load increases in playoffs
PROP ALERT
Joel Embiid
Philadelphia 76ers
Under 29.5 points
63%
DTD status caps projection below avg
PROP ALERT
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Philadelphia 76ers
Over 15.0 points
58%
Spot-up role expands with injuries
PROP ALERT
Quentin Grimes
Philadelphia 76ers
Over 2.0 three_pointers
57%
Shooting volume vs Boston perimeter D