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Phoenix Suns at Detroit Pistons

NBA October 05, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Ω OMEGA PICK
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Detroit Pistons
-2.5
Model projects Detroit -2.5 at home via Cunningham-Duren pick-and-roll efficiency edge.
Ω Bottom Line
Model leans Detroit -2.5 at home with +2.9 EV vs vig baseline, display only with no market edge

Game Analysis

Model makes Detroit -2.5 and 225.5 total (115.0-112.5). Williams out removes Suns rim protection while Duren is only day-to-day, giving Detroit the interior edge at home. No market to confirm, so all three picks capped at 65 on this display-only slate.

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT
Cade Cunningham Detroit Pistons
Over 24.5 points 62%
High-usage primary creator with no market to fade
PROP ALERT
Devin Booker Phoenix Suns
Over 25.5 points 61%
Elite scorer and top usage on Suns roster
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