Pisa at Cremonese
Ω
OMEGA PICK
59%
Lean
MONEYLINE
Cremonese
None
calibrated fuses to 59.2% home win matching exact breakeven on -145.
Ω Bottom Line
Cremonese 59.2% posterior = -145 breakeven (0 EV); pass in low-data spot
Game Analysis
Bayesian posterior pegs Cremonese win at 59.2%, exactly matching -145 ML breakeven with 0% edge. No injuries, rest, travel, or sharp signals; line stable amid poor data (24% signals). Totals avoided given 46.7% lean WR and no pace/posterior.
Correlated Player Props
PROP ALERT
Federico Bonazzoli
Pisa
Under 0.5 goals
60%
Season 8 goals/32 matches (0.25 gpg); low-volume forward vs expected Cremonese D.
PROP ALERT
Filippo Terracciano
Pisa
Under 0.5 shots_on_target
57%
Model projection low usage; 1201 season mins but secondary role.
PROP ALERT
Emil Audero
Pisa
Over 2.5 saves
56%
121 season saves indicate workload; Cremonese home attack projects avg shots.
PROP ALERT
Federico Bonazzoli
Pisa
Under 1.0 shots_on_target
58%
Limited shot volume at 0.25 gpg pace.
PROP ALERT
Stefano Moreo
Cremonese
Under 0.5 goals
60%
6 goals/34 matches (0.18 gpg); inefficient finisher.
PROP ALERT
Jari Vandeputte
Cremonese
Under 0.5 assists
59%
4 assists/29 matches; low creator vs Pisa D.
PROP ALERT
Mehdi Léris
Cremonese
Under 0.5 assists
57%
3 assists/31 matches; wing role limited playmaking.
PROP ALERT
Adrian Semper
Cremonese
Over 2.5 saves
56%
71 season saves; Pisa away attack projects moderate pressure.
PROP ALERT
Michel Aebischer
Cremonese
Under 1.0 shots_on_target
55%
High mins (1253) but midfielder low shot efficiency.
PROP ALERT
Stefano Moreo
Cremonese
Under 1.0 shots_on_target
58%
49 ? stat aligns with low conversion (0.18 gpg).
PROP ALERT
Jari Vandeputte
Cremonese
Under 0.5 shots_on_target
56%
Assist specialist, minimal shooting threat.
PROP ALERT
Michel Aebischer
Cremonese
Over 0.5 shots_on_target
55%
High usage from 1253 mins in midfield.