Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils

NHL April 09, 2026 11:00 PM ET

Ω OMEGA PICK

56% Lean

SPREAD

New Jersey Devils

-1.5

Model expected score diff +0.6 favors Devils cover despite Penguins injuries

Ω Bottom Line

Devils -1.5 (56%) on Penguins injury pileup (5 key outs) vs NJD depth losses, model exp +0.6 diff

All OMEGA Picks

SPREAD

New Jersey Devils

Line: -1.5

56%

Model expected score diff +0.6 favors Devils cover despite Penguins injuries

MONEYLINE

New Jersey Devils

58%

Home edge + better injury situation (4 Devils out vs 5 Penguins, including Skinner DTD)

Game Analysis

Devils model edge (3.3-2.7 proj) with home ice + Hughes/Bratt/Hischier vs Penguins depth hits (Lizotte out, Skinner DTD); both teams banged up but NJ younger core prevails. ML lean tier profitable (56.4% WR) while spreads solid (61.1%). Props capped 60 max w/o validation; poor 17% data quality forces conservative sizing.

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT

Jack Hughes New Jersey Devils

Over 1.5 points 60%

Team leader (72 pts), high usage vs Penguins weak defense (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Jesper Bratt New Jersey Devils

Over 0.5 points 58%

48 pts leader, powerplay threat vs PIT injuries

PROP ALERT

Nico Hischier New Jersey Devils

Over 0.5 points 57%

26 pts, faceoff wins drive offense (model proj)

PROP ALERT

Erik Karlsson New Jersey Devils

Over 0.5 points 56%

50 pts from blue line, PP1 role

PROP ALERT

Sidney Crosby Pittsburgh Penguins

Over 1.0 points 59%

72 pts leader despite team injuries, matchup usage

PROP ALERT

Anthony Mantha Pittsburgh Penguins

Over 0.5 points 57%

31 pts, elevated role with Lizotte out

PROP ALERT

Jack Hughes New Jersey Devils

Over 3.5 shots_on_goal 58%

High volume shooter vs PIT depth D injuries

PROP ALERT

Sidney Crosby Pittsburgh Penguins

Over 3.0 shots_on_goal 57%

Consistent SOG volume even in tough matchups

PROP ALERT

Jesper Bratt New Jersey Devils

Over 0.5 assists 56%

Playmaker with 48 pts mostly helpers

PROP ALERT

Nico Hischier New Jersey Devils

Under 0.5 assists 55%

More goal-focused, lower assist projection

PROP ALERT

Erik Karlsson New Jersey Devils

Over 0.5 assists 56%

50 pts mostly assists from D

PROP ALERT

Sidney Crosby Pittsburgh Penguins

Over 0.5 assists 58%

Elite passer, carries Penguins offense

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