Ryan Palmer at Kevin Streelman

PGA April 02, 2026 04:00 AM ET

Ω OMEGA PICK

63% Sharp Lean

SPREAD

Ryan Palmer

-0.5

Model projects Palmer -0.6 stroke diff from Poisson scoring (SGT 1.2 vs Streelman 0.4 recent)

Ω Bottom Line

Palmer -150 ML (+3.2 EV): superior SG:APP + Streelman 43% cut-made rate = model 55% win prob

All OMEGA Picks

MONEYLINE

Ryan Palmer

66%

Palmer's 2025 form (top-40 OWGR) + better SG: Approach vs Streelman's weak recent cuts made (missed 3/7)

SPREAD

Ryan Palmer -0.5 strokes

Line: -0.5

63%

Model projects Palmer -0.6 stroke diff from Poisson scoring (SGT 1.2 vs Streelman 0.4 recent)

Game Analysis

Palmer's +0.45 SG: Approach crushes Streelman's -0.12 over last 24 rounds, projecting 1.3-stroke win edge. Model ML 58% vs -125 implied 55.6% for +3.2 EV. Streelman consistent cutter but lacks finishing pop (42% top-20).

Game Theory & Utilization

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT

Ryan Palmer Ryan Palmer

Over 4.5 birdies 60%

Palmer avg 5.1 birdies/rd last 10; strong SG:APP vs avg field

PROP ALERT

Ryan Palmer Ryan Palmer

Over 295.5 driving_distance 58%

Season avg 298yd; neutral venue favors bombers

PROP ALERT

Ryan Palmer Ryan Palmer

Under 28.5 putts 59%

Top-25 SG:Putting ranks; avg 27.8 last 10

PROP ALERT

Ryan Palmer Ryan Palmer

Over 11.5 fairways_hit 57%

68% fairways hit rate last 10 events

PROP ALERT

Ryan Palmer Ryan Palmer

Under 0.5 eagles_or_better 62%

Rare event; 0.2 avg, under in 8/10

PROP ALERT

Ryan Palmer Ryan Palmer

Under 69.5 scoring_avg 61%

Recent avg 69.1; strong iron play

PROP ALERT

Ryan Palmer Ryan Palmer

Over 70.5 greens_in_regulation 56%

72% GIR last 10; approach strength

PROP ALERT

Ryan Palmer Ryan Palmer

Over 15.5 par_or_better 55%

Consistent ball-striking avg 16.2

PROP ALERT