Saint Mary of the Woods Pomeroys at Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
Ω
DDN SI PICK
62%
Lean
MONEYLINE
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
None
USI is projected ~85% to win outright on the model's D1-vs-NAIA rating gap, but the implied model price (-500 or heavier) fails the moneyline value filter — a heavy no-bet favorite shown for completeness only.
Ω Bottom Line
USI projects -15.5 vs a NAIA opponent, but with no market line and 0 graded outcomes on this slate, there's no verifiable edge to bet — display-only PASSES across the board.
Game Analysis
No books are touching USI vs Saint Mary of the Woods, so all lines below are our own: model has the Screaming Eagles ~15.5 over an NAIA opponent with ~85% win probability. That fails the -250 value filter for ML and the price contract has no real quotes to bind, so every side ships at PASS sizing rather than a fake edge. The only mildly interesting read is total pace — a runaway typically pads matchup totals — but with zero graded history on this slate (N=0), the totals market stays our weakest lane.
Correlated Player Props
PROP ALERT
Markus Burton
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
Over 21.5 points
58%
Model projection, not market-cleared: Burton is the roster's primary high-usage guard and projects 21+ points against a NAIA defensive talent gap. Line is our projected value rounded to 0.5; no market comparison exists so edge_reason references no market.
PROP ALERT
Sam Alexis
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
Over 8.5 rebounds
55%
Model projection, not market-cleared: Alexis is the roster's top rebounding presence and projects 8-9 boards against a smaller opponent frontcourt. Lower confidence without a market line.
PROP ALERT
Trent Sisley
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
Over 12.5 points
55%
Model projection, not market-cleared: Sisley projects as a secondary scorer with elevated minutes expected in a lopsided rotation. Thin evidence; kept at LEAN floor.