Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights
Ω
OMEGA PICK
55%
Lean
SPREAD
Utah Mammoth
1.5
calibrated 54.6% Utah covers +1.5 vs market 50% with Omega spread even at 0.0
Ω Bottom Line
Utah +1.5 (55% conf, +4.7pp edge, sharp 13.5%) & Over 6 (60% conf, +15pp) - models see even game, vapor total
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
Utah Mammoth
Line: 1.5
calibrated 54.6% Utah covers +1.5 vs market 50% with Omega spread even at 0.0
TOTAL
over
Line: 6.0
Over posterior 65.2% vs market 50% with OMEGA total and Dixon-Coles 19.2 combined goals
Game Analysis
Sharp money shows 13.5% edge on Utah +1.5 cover (Pinnacle fair 64% vs market 50%), overriding whale home ML volume. Bayesian ML posterior flat at 60.8% matching vigged line, zero EV. Totals weak with fair under 52.5% but historical NHL totals 48.7% WR.
Correlated Player Props
PROP ALERT
Jack Eichel
Vegas Golden Knights
Over 1.0 points
60%
Season leader 63 pts, high usage vs injured away, model projection 1.3
PROP ALERT
Jack Eichel
Vegas Golden Knights
Over 0.5 assists
58%
90 assists leader, playmaker in even matchup
PROP ALERT
Pavel Dorofeyev
Vegas Golden Knights
Over 2.5 shots_on_goal
57%
High volume shooter in projected high total
PROP ALERT
Jack Eichel
Vegas Golden Knights
Over 2.0 shots_on_goal
59%
Consistent SOG, favorable matchup
PROP ALERT
Pavel Dorofeyev
Vegas Golden Knights
Over 0.5 points
56%
Secondary scoring vs depleted Utah
PROP ALERT
Clayton Keller
Utah Mammoth
Over 0.5 assists
57%
88 assists, playmaking boost from injury cascade