Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

NHL April 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Ω OMEGA PICK

55% Lean

SPREAD

St. Louis Blues

-0.5

Jets missing Barron + depth D (Miller IR), Blues home ice despite even model records vs both teams

Ω Bottom Line

Blues ML -115 model edge (+1.8 EV) as Jets lose Barron/Nyquist depth in late season spot

All OMEGA Picks

SPREAD

St. Louis Blues

Line: -0.5

55%

Jets missing Barron + depth D (Miller IR), Blues home ice despite even model records vs both teams

MONEYLINE

St. Louis Blues

57%

Model 54.5% Blues win prob exceeds -115 breakeven (53.5%) by 1%; Jets injuries tilt edge

Game Analysis

Jets hammered by injuries (Barron OUT, Nyquist DTD, Miller IR) create Blues home edge in model-generated -115 ML (54.5% win prob). Poor data quality caps confidence at toss-up but EV +1.8% on Blues ML. Model totals 5.2 goals but totals losing historically across tiers.

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT

Robert Thomas St. Louis Blues

Over 0.5 points 58%

Team leader in points (56 total), high usage vs Jets depleted D

PROP ALERT

Kyle Connor Winnipeg Jets

Under 0.5 goals 56%

38 goals but Jets injuries cascade reduces quality chances

PROP ALERT

Mark Scheifele Winnipeg Jets

Over 0.5 points 57%

Leads Jets with 97 points, elevated usage with Barron OUT

PROP ALERT

Robert Thomas St. Louis Blues

Over 0.5 assists 55%

35 assists as team leader, Blues PP advantage vs Jets injuries

PROP ALERT

Kyle Connor Winnipeg Jets

Over 3.5 shots_on_goal 59%

High volume shooter, maintains SOG despite team injuries

PROP ALERT

Mark Scheifele Winnipeg Jets

Over 0.5 assists 56%

63 assists, primary playmaker with forward depth hit

PROP ALERT

Robert Thomas St. Louis Blues

Over 2.5 shots_on_goal 54%

Consistent shooter, favorable matchup vs Jets D

PROP ALERT

Kyle Connor Winnipeg Jets

Under 1.5 points 55%

Multi-pt games rarer with Jets injuries limiting setup

PROP ALERT

Mark Scheifele Winnipeg Jets

Over 2.5 shots_on_goal 58%

97 shots leader, increased role with injuries

PROP ALERT

Robert Thomas St. Louis Blues

Under 0.5 goals 54%

21 goals but more passer; Blues conservative vs Jets

PROP ALERT

Kyle Connor Winnipeg Jets

Under 0.5 assists 56%

Scheifele primary distributor reduces Connor secondary role

PROP ALERT

Mark Scheifele Winnipeg Jets

Under 0.5 goals 55%

Pass-first center, lower goal output expected

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